Patriots vs Commanders Prediction, Picks & Odds for This Week’s NFL Preseason Game

After trading away a top wideout in Jahan Dotson this week, the Washington Commanders will take the field in the nation’s capital on Sunday to finish up their preseason against the New England Patriots.

The Pats are coming off a one-point loss to the Philadelphia Eagles and will be looking to get their offense going in the hopes of finishing 2-1, while Washington is still seeking its first exhibition win.

Find out why New England has a leg up on its competition in our free Patriots vs. Commanders predictions and NFL picks for Sunday, August 25.

Patriots vs Commanders prediction

My best betPatriots -6.5 (-110 at FanDuel)

My analysis

It sure would seem that Jayden Daniels will be used sparingly on Sunday, if at all. The No. 2 pick in this year’s draft has already won the starting job for the Washington Commanders, so there’d be little reason to give him any extended run.

That leaves the Commanders’ offense in a precarious position. They put up just six points last week against the New York Jets, all of which came in the second quarter. Trayce McSorley and Jeff Driskel failed to move the ball like Daniels did, and aside from Brian Robinson Jr., this run game was stopped in its tracks.

Meanwhile, the New England Patriots have allowed just 17 points through two preseason games, and also remain with several ongoing roster battles. 

One of the biggest is for the starting quarterback job, and that’ll bring a good deal of life out of the Patriots’ offense. Although Drake Maye seems to be pushing into the lead, he’s been used sparingly during the preseason. The first-round selection was given a bit more time to showcase his talents against Philly, but New England elected to run the ball with him under center and he finished with just 11 attempts (which was still a team-high).

I expect to see Maye a ton in this one, and the Commanders’ secondary is one to attack after being one of the worst in football a season ago. Mike White completed 11-of-20 passes for 116 yards against this team last week, and even Skylar Thompson had success.

Expect Maye to take advantage of a soft matchup and win himself some favor with the Patriots. This is the deeper of the two teams, and the players on the field will have much more to play for considering Washington is left with fewer roster decisions.

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Patriots vs Commanders odds

Patriots vs Commanders live odds

Patriots vs Commanders opening odds

  • Spread: New England +2.5 (-110) | Washington -2.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: New England +125 | Washington -150
  • Over/Under: Over 35.5 (-110) | Under 35.5 (-110)

Patriots vs Commanders betting trend to know

New England and Washington have combined to go 3-1 to the Under this preseason. Find more NFL betting trends for Patriots vs Commanders.

Patriots vs Commanders game info

Location:Commanders Field, Landover, MD
Date:Sunday, 8-25, 2024
Kickoff:6:00 p.m. ET
TV:NFL+

Patriots vs Commanders weather

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Kenny Ducey
Betting Analyst

Kenny Ducey has worked in sports media for more than 10 years and began his journey as a credentialed reporter with Fordham University’s WFUV Sports before moving on to Sports Illustrated. There, he wrote about baseball, basketball, and tennis – twice covering the NBA Finals.

He’s been in the betting space for seven years, and has established himself as a top expert in MLB and tennis handicapping with brands like Tennis Channel, NBC Sports, and DraftKings. He’s also been a frequent guest on betting shows such as MLB’s Bettor’s Eye and Tennis Bets Live.

Kenny has a knack for identifying underappreciated pitchers and tennis players as moneyline underdogs and credits his unique data analysis and hours of watching sports as the biggest reasons for success through the years. His best advice to bettors? Watch the games, trust your eye, and always question the public narrative.

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